As Chairman during a presidential election year, I know how important our fundraising successes are, and that it is equally important that our money is spent in a wise and effective manner. Our business plan, which I have posted below, was successful in raising over $25,000 from new donors, and enabled us to do the largest mail out in Broward GOP history – over 90,000 mail pieces containing listings of our recommended candidates to Republican voters.
Regards,
Richard DeNapoli, Chairman
—
BROWARD REPUBLICAN PARTY FUNDRAISING APPEAL
FOR THE NOVEMBER 2012 GENERAL ELECTION
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:
Broward County, with over 570,000 registered Democrats, is by far the largest county of registered Democrats in the State of Florida. Many do not realize that Broward is also the second largest county of registered Republicans in Florida, with over 256,000 registered Republicans. For the past 20 years, every Republican statewide candidate getting just 35% of the total vote of Broward County always wins Florida. A Republican voter turnout of at least 75% in Broward County can ensure that the total vote in Broward reaches at least 36% for the Romney/Ryan ticket which will also help all Republican candidates down the ballot. (See Page 6 for more information.) Funding for our Get Out the Vote (GOTV) Program outlined here can guarantee these results. We are asking for your financial support for one or more of our GOTV Programs detailed below so that we can fulfill our mission of maximizing Republican voter turnout in Broward County.
We begin by detailing the Broward Republican Party’s GOTV program for the August 2012 primary election and the resulting benefits. We then analyze our recommendations for a full November 2012 GOTV program and request your financial support so that we can achieve our goals. Any funds received will only go towards these GOTV programs and not any other incidental or staff expenses.
- I. GOTV Program for the August 2012 Primary & Positive Results Produced
In August 2012, the Broward Republican Executive Committee (BREC), also known at the Republican Party of Broward, engaged a GOTV program that produced the following results:
- Every single one of our recommended candidates in the nonpartisan races either won outright in August or made it to the November runoff.
- We contributed $5,000 to Katie Leach’s campaign for School Board; she became the first Republican candidate elected to the Broward School Board since 2000.
- 10,000 more Republicans voted than in the comparable 2008 primary. This was an almost 50% increase in Republican voter turnout.
- Republicans who chose to vote via absentee ballot grew from 23% in the 2008 primary to 39.5% in the 2012 primary.
The August 2012 GOTV program consisted of the following:
- 13,000 GOTV Postcards containing BREC’s contact info and asking voters to contact BREC for our recommendations in the nonpartisan races. Thousands of calls were fielded at our party headquarters as a result of this mailing.
- Robocalls were sent out to over 25,000 Republicans, included all those who received an absentee ballot, resulting in more callbacks to the party headquarters.
- 5,000 “Dear Neighbor” Precinct Letters were sent out. These letters arrive in the name of an Executive Committee members and are sent to all the Republicans in their respective precincts introducing themselves and informing Republican voters of party recommendations. You can find an example at the end of this presentation. Voters generally pay more attention to a letter from one of their neighbors, and these letters are unlike anything they will receive from a candidate. In every precinct where these letters were mailed, the recommended candidates vastly outperformed their countywide performance (usually by more than 20%) as well as their performance in neighboring precincts where letters were not utilized. The Republican voter turnout in these precincts was as much as double that of the countywide average.
- Every BREC member (there are 400) was provided with a list of those Republicans who requested an absentee ballot in order to contact these voters in their precincts and ensure that they voted their ballot.
- This was done at the cost of approximately $7,000.
- II. Plans for a Complete November GOTV Program (See Page 7 for more information)
Voter turnout is dramatically different in the November general election as compared with the August primary. Of the 1,100,949 registered voters in Broward County, we can expect a turnout between 73% to 75%, or up to 825,000 voters. This is more than seven times the turnout in August. The costs associated with turning out the Republican voters also increases. We present our recommendations to maximize turnout below.
- A. MAXIMIZE ABSENTEE VOTER TURNOUT. We need to turn out at least 75% of the registered Republican voters in Broward County to meet our goals. This is 192,318 Republicans. We estimate that 84,000 Republican voters in Broward will apply for absentee ballots. We estimate that a minimum of 63,000 and a maximum of 76,000 of these Republican voters will vote their absentee ballot. Studies have shown that voters with an absentee ballot mailed to them are much more likely to vote. However, they still need to be pushed to mail their ballot in and can always use recommendations on how to vote.
The “Dear Neighbor” letters mentioned above proved especially powerful in increasing Republican voter turnout and in increasing the percentage of the vote for our recommended candidates.
Robocalls are most useful when reinforcing an existing message that a voter receives in print. We have found that when engaged via a “Dear Neighbor” letter and robocalls, Republican voters receiving an absentee ballot are much more likely to actually vote their ballot.
Estimated Cost of “Dear Neighbor” letters mailed to 84,000 Republicans: $42,000
Estimated Cost of Robocalls to these 84,000 Republicans: $ 2,200
- B. MAXIMIZE MORE INFREQUENT AND NEWLY REGISTERED REPUBLICAN VOTER TURNOUT. We know that anyone who voted in 2, 3 or 4 of the last four elections for which data is available (the 2008 General Election, 2010 Primary Election, 2010 General Election, and 2012 Presidential Preference Primary) is almost certainly going to vote in the November 2012 election.
Thus, we will focus on those Republicans who:
- only voted in 1 of the last four elections (65,827 Republicans), or are
- newly registered Republicans who have not yet voted (12,256 Republicans).
This is a total of 78,083 voters. There will be some overlap of these Republicans with those who will be receiving an absentee ballot, so the estimates will be slightly overstated below.
Estimated Cost of “Dear Neighbor” letters mailed to these 78,083 Republicans: $39,000
Estimated Cost of Robocalls to these 78,083 Republicans $ 2,100
Total of A and B: $85,300
Our main focus will be in pushing our Absentee Chase and “Dear Neighbor” Projects.
In succeeding pages of this proposal, you can read about our other efforts at winning this November. Page 11 details how the Broward Republican Party challenged the Broward Supervisor of Elections and successfully got an Early Voting site placed in the Republican “East Side” of Broward.
You can also read on Page 12 about the Broward Republican Party’s successful efforts at uncovering and removing hundreds of dead voters from the Broward County rolls. These efforts gained national media attention.
We request your financial support so that we can achieve our goals. Any funds received will only go towards the GOTV programs referenced in this proposal and not any other incidental or staff expenses. You can read about the costs of other advertising initiatives on Page 4.
We thank you for the time you are taking to read our proposal.
Any contribution that you can make will assist us in our GOTV efforts and help ensure Republican victories in Broward County.
Please contact me with any questions at 954-298-9121.
Warmest Regards,
Richard DeNapoli, Chairman
Broward Republican Executive Committee
OTHER ADVERTISING COSTS OUTLINED
Broward Republican Voter Guide
$7,000 for Newsprint Production of 100,000 pieces.
Clear Channel Outdoor / Broward & Palm Beach County (billboards)
$ 5,000 for Turnpike
$ 6,000 for I-95
$ 8,500 for I-595
$ 5,000 for other expressways not listed above
$ 2,500 for surface street bulletins
(Include $7000 for production of vinyl billboard)
(All postings are for 4 weeks)
Digital production costs
$ 4,500 for digital bulletin
$ 2,000 for digital poster
“Lifestyle Magazines”
Weston Lifestyle (10K)
Estate Lifestyle (Davie, Cooper City) (10K)
Las Olas Lifestyle (10K)
Parkland Lifestyle (10K)
Coral Springs Lifestyle (10K)
The costs are:
$1,350 for full page ad in 3 issues;
$ 850 for ½ page ad in 3 issues;
$ 450 for ¼ page ad in 3 issues
$ 250 for 1/6 page ad in 3 issues;
$ 850 for 4-color glossy postcard insert (1 side)
South Florida Times
$ 2,600 for full page ad;
$ 1,400 for half page ad;
$ 600 for quarter page ad;
$ 350 for eighth page ad
Westside Gazette
$ 4,515 for full page ad;
$ 2,257 for ½ page ad;
$ 1,470 for 1/3 page ad;
$ 1,128 for ¼ page ad;
$ 551 for 1/8 page ad;
Also, can insert pre-printed materials for $200/1,000 (up to 8 pages)
South Florida Business Journal
$ 4,208 for full page
$ 4,089 for ¾ page ad
$ 3,281 for Island ad
$ 2,781 for ½ page ad
$ 2,369 for 3/8 page ad
$ 1,720 for ¼ page ad
$ 1,030 for 1/8 page ad
Town Talk TV (17,000 subscriber homes in Coral Springs or 17,000 subscriber homes in Weston)
(All ads run for 6 weeks; all ads seen 44 times/day) (Good for commissioners, Robert Sutton)
$ 51 15-second ad
$ 101 30-second ad
$ 126 45-second ad
$ 176 60-second ad
$ 201 75-second ad
Sun-Sentinel
Sunday rates
$ 13,860 full page
$ 6,930 ½ page
$ 4,620 1/3 page
$ 9,900 5/7 page
Daily rates
$ 8,694 full page
$ 4,347 ½ page
$ 2,898 1/3 page
$ 6,210 5/7 page
(color add 25%; purchase by specific section add 10%)
(also rates available by community area: NW, NE, Central W (Weston Sunrise , Plantation), SW, SE)
Pelican (good for Mack & Hasner, Bogdanoff & Moraitis)
(All prices for 4 week run per week)
Full page: $ 678.13 B&W; $ 930.00 color
½ page: $ 328.13 B&W; $ 450.00 color
¼ page V: $ 157.50 B&W; $ 216.00 color
¼ page H: $ 170.63 B&W: $ 234.00 color
Bus costs
Bus bench or shelter:
Bench: $ 175 per month per location
Shelter: $ 250 per month per location per face (streets typically have 2 faces)
Billboard: $ 2,500 (Turnpike); $ 5,000 (I-95)
(Figure $125 for production and $25 for posting)
BROWARD REPUBLICAN VOTING PATTERNS
There are 256,424 Registered Republican voters in Broward County as of 7/31/2012.
Their voting patterns are as follows:
35,141 Voted 4 in of 4 last elections (2012 PPP, 2010 General, 2010 Primary, 2008 General)
38,388 Voted in 3 of 4 last elections
50,383 Voted in 2 of 4 last elections (likely only vote in general elections)
65,827 Voted in 1 of 4 last elections (likely only vote in Presidential general elections)
12,256 Voted in 0, but newly registered since 2010 general election
54,429 Voted in 0 of 4 last elections (but excludes newly registered voters, likely the deceased,
people who only register to get homestead, people who have moved, etc.)
=256,424 Total registered Republicans in Broward County (SOE figures, July 31, 2012)
For the purposes of the 2012 November General election, we will want to focus on turning out the 65,827 “1” voters as well as the 12,256 newly registered voters. We will educate the more frequent voters in how to vote in the nonpartisan races, but the top of the ticket will need help in ensuring these 1 voters and newly registered voters turn out.
OUR GET OUT THE VOTE PLANS FOR NOVEMBER 2012
Voting by absentee ballot has increased dramatically since 2008. In a projection from the recently concluded 2012 primary election, we predict that a record number of registered Republicans in Broward County will vote by absentee ballot.
Case in point: In the 2008 August primary election, 21,878 Republicans cast ballots. A minimum of 32,110 Republicans voted in the August 2012 primary, an increase of almost 50%. Conversely, total voter turnout fell from 11.41% in August 2008 to 10.70% in August 2012 due to decreased Democratic turnout. (Final August 2012 numbers are not in as they results have not been certified by the Broward County Supervisor of Elections.)
As of this writing the total number of registered voters has increased from 1,008,836 in November 2008 to 1,100,949 as of July 31, 2012. The number of registered Republicans has increased from 246,109 in November 2008 to 256,424 (July 31, 2012).
In November 2008, John McCain received 56,556 votes by absentee ballot in Broward County—41.46% of the total absentee vote. Conversely, Senator McCain’s total vote in Broward County was 237,724 or 32.34% of the total vote cast.
As such, we predict that a minimum of 63,000 votes and up to 76,000 votes will be cast via absentee ballot by Republicans in Broward County for the Romney/Ryan ticket. Our goal is to get 75% of those registered Republicans applying for absentee ballot (which we estimate to be 84,000) to vote, thus narrowing the Obama/Biden majority in the county and making viable a Romney victory in Florida. (The Republican Party of Florida has set as our goal a 75% turnout of Republicans in the county.)
Moreover, ensuring a strong Republican absentee effort will help all downballot Republicans and favored nonpartisan candidates. This will bolster the chances of electing Governor Scott’s appointments and the reelection of Sheriff Lamberti, Senator Bogdanoff, and Representative Moraitis as well as other GOP challengers.
In the August 2012 primary, the BREC mailed 13,000 GOTV Postcards containing BREC’s contact info and asking voters to contact BREC for our recommendations in the nonpartisan races. Thousands of calls were fielded at our party headquarters as a result of this mailing.
An effort that has worked well over the years (and particularly in the recent primary) has been a “Dear Neighbor” letter that has been used extensively throughout certain precincts in Broward. A generic “Dear Neighbor” letter would be customized to precinct committeemembers who wish to reach out to their neighbors with a local touch.
In August 2012, the BREC mailed out 13,000 get-out-the-vote postcards as per above and made approximately 25,000 robocalls. About 5,000 “Dear Neighbor” letter were sent. The results:
– Turnout of almost 50% above 2008 primary
– Thousands of response telephone calls to Republican headquarters
– Katie Leach elected outright to School Board (first Republican since 2000)
– Donna Korn led Franklin Sands in School Board election with November runoff
-Every single GOP recommendation in non-partisan races won outright or made it to the
November general election (school board and judicial elections)
This was a minor operation that cost about $7,000 and produced sizable results. To replicate the same for November would cost:
- A. ABSENTEE CHASE CAMPAIGN
$42,000 “Dear Neighbor” letter mailed to 84,000 Republicans via bulk mail (political) with
1 general informative page (early voting days and hours, local polling place, etc.)
and 1 page of recommendations
$2,200 Robocalls to these 84,000 Republican voters
The rough breakdown of Republican voters in Broward County is as follows, based on voting patterns:
35,141 Voted 4 in of 4 last elections (2012 PPP, 2010 General, 2010 Primary, 2008 General)
38,388 Voted in 3 of 4 last elections
50,383 Voted in 2 of 4 last elections (likely only vote in general elections)
65,827 Voted in 1 of 4 last elections (likely only vote in Presidential general elections)
12,256 Voted in 0, but newly registered since 2010 general election
54,429 Voted in 0 of 4 last elections (but excludes newly registered voters, likely the deceased,
others who are still registered)
256,424 Total registered Republicans in Broward County (SOE figures, July 31, 2012)
Although the postcards and “Dear Neighbor” letters will have some degree of overlap, we would definitely mail to the newly registered voters and those who voted in 1 of 4 past elections, a total of 78,083 letters. (Also, we can match in spreadsheets the 0 and 1 voters against the absentee postcards per above to winnow down this number.)
- B. INFREQUENT & NEW VOTER CHASE
$39,000 Estimated cost of “Dear Neighbor” letters mailed to newly registered and 1 voters
(78,083 Republicans total from above)
$2,100 Robocalls to these voters
TOTAL COSTS:
$ 85,300 Total cost for general election mailing campaign
(A further note on analysis of above voting patterns. Anyone who voted in 2, 3 or 4 of the past 4 elections is almost certainly going to vote in November. Some of these people will be covered in the “Dear Neighbor” letters; some are already active in BREC. We are not going to make a deliberate effort to contact these voters, particularly the “high information” voters as they will actively seek out information on the candidates and election process.)
Some further follow-up work can be done by BREC committeemen and campaign volunteers. Along with the “Dear Neighbor” letter noted above, committeemen and committeewomen are given lists with telephone numbers and addresses of people who have requested absentee ballots in their precincts. Some voters never list their telephone numbers (or the numbers are not longer operative), so this is an effective, but incomplete, way of reaching absentee voters. (A concentrated campaign, such as above, made the difference for Allen West who defeated Ron Klein in 2010 on the strength of absentee ballots cast for him. In fact, Congressman West’s absentee margin was 60% of his total victory margin. BREC Vice Chairman Colleen Stolberg headed up the absentee campaigns for Allen West in 2008 and 2010.)
BREC members and volunteers will also walk door-to-door, hold meet-and-greets for the candidates and otherwise publicize their campaigns in their precincts. While traditional and effective, these efforts will not bring Broward County to the 75% Republican turnout goal set by the Republican Party of Florida.
Based on our experience in the August 2012 primary (and years in politics), we conclude that we can surpass the 75% threshold with an investment of about $83,500 for a series of coordinated, targeted mailings. Along with the traditional GOTV use of committeemen and volunteers, we believe that a Romney vote can exceed 36% of the total number of ballots cast in Broward County. This will hamper the Democratic vote margin from Broward County and make viable a Romney victory in Florida.
Later in this business plan, ways to reduce the Democratic vote is discussed in “The State of Voter Registration in Broward County.” This is another strategy to increase the Republican margin in Broward County.
BARACK OBAMA’S 2012 CAMPAIGN EFFORTS,
VOTER REGISTRATION IN BROWARD COUNTY & WHAT THE BROWARD REPUBLICAN PARTY IS DOING
On December 13, 2011—11 months before the November 6, 2012, election—Barack Obama’s re-election campaign opened its Broward County headquarters at:
3300 Inverrary Boulevard
Lauderhill, Florida
It is being run by Organizing for America, a “community organizing project of the Democratic National Committee.” In other words, this is Barack Obama’s local campaign office. The website testifies to the importance of Broward County to Barack Obama’s re-election campaign. Marked “This location is shown only to members,” it reads:
“Voter Registration Training
Every Thursday at 6:30PM, the Organizing for America Office at 3300 Inverrary Boulevard in Lauderhill (just north of Oakland Park Blvd.), there will be a voter registration training. It will last about one hour, and if you are interested call Meaghan Hardy at [masked].”
Broward County is the Democratic Party’s stronghold in Florida. Obama For America has stated that it expects to raise more than $1 billion to see that Barack Obama is re-elected this year. In 2008, his campaign spent $532,946,511—a little more than half a billion dollars, or about 50% of what the campaign plans to raise and spend in 2012.
A significant amount of money will have to go into Broward County. It is the most Democratic county in the swing state of Florida. Broward is the county where the highest percentage of Democrats are unregistered. The strategy is simple and clear.
This is why the Broward County headquarters was opened so early, one of the first in the state. This is why there are voter registration training sessions every Thursday night. This is why the Obama campaign currently has 4 such offices operating in Broward County, and the campaign helped set up 194 State of the Union TV watch parties earlier in February.
The Obama re-election campaign is wasting no time attempting to register new voters.
Since the federal judge ruled that the 2-day deadline for turning voter registrations was “too harsh” and unilaterally extended it to 10 days, third party registration desks have been appearing all over Broward County neighborhoods with a preponderance of registered Democrats. This is a potential project all its own.
THE BROWARD REPUBLICAN PARTY’S EFFORTS AT VOTER REGISTRATION
The Broward Republican Party also has an active Voter Registration Committee. We have already met out goals as outlined by the Republican Party of Florida. However, we are pushing hard to register new Republicans to combat the Obama campaign’s efforts.
We appreciate your time in reading this proposal. 2012 will be a make-or-break year for the United States as we know it. We are all willing to put in the necessary time and energy to make this project work.
THE BROWARD REPUBLICAN PARTY SUCCESSFULLY GAINS AN “EAST SIDE” EARLY VOTING SITE
The Broward Republican Executive Committee Board also noticed a disturbing trend whereby all of the Early Voting sites were located in the most Democratic areas of Broward. We challenged the Supervisor of Elections on this issue using statistical analyses about voting trends and early voting. We succeeded in gaining an additional early voting location in the heavily Republican east side of Broward County. This was also important because it meant that the Supervisor had less funds to allocate towards another location in a heavily Democratic area.
THE STATE OF VOTER REGISTRATION IN BROWARD COUNTY
In December 2011, letters and voter registration forms were sent via First Class U.S. mail to 1,025 registered Republican voters in the five Palm Aire precincts (upper-middle and middle-class suburb of Fort Lauderdale). The names were obtained from a list of registered voters provided by the office of the Broward County Supervisor of Elections earlier that month.
Nearly 20% (201) letters were returned. Many voters had moved elsewhere in Broward County and throughout Florida. Some voters moved out of state, and some were deceased. (A handful of letters were sent to snowbirds who were temporarily away.)
If this is the condition of the voter the voter registration list of registered Republicans in Palm Aire, can you image what the current overall list of 1,100,949 voters is like? (Total from Supervisor of Elections web site, July 31, 2012.)
BROWARD REPUBLICAN PARTY’S SUCCESSFUL EFFORTS AT REMOVING DEAD VOTERS FROM THE ROLLS
Seeing the above situation, the Broward Country Republican Party selected a list of 2,100 Broward County residents who died in the year 2011 (9,985 total). We then ran them against the voter registration rolls of the Broward County Supervisor of Elections. Twenty-three percent of the deceaseds—481 in total—were still listed on the SOE’s website as being active and current voters. This garnered much media attention and some clips can be seen at www.youtube.browardgop. The SOE was forced to cancel a community meeting and hold a press conference to instead address these findings. All 481 deceased voters have since been removed from the rolls.
THE BROWARD SOE HAS NOT BEEN COMPLYING WITH THE PROCEDURES FOR REMOVING INACTIVE VOTERS
By the Broward County Supervisor of Elections’ own admission, about 150,000 voters should be removed from the voting rolls (August 31, 2011, press release, “Supervisor of Elections to Begin Required Voter Rolls Clean Up”). These are voters who have not voted in the two preceding federal elections (2008 and 2010) and were sent three letters requesting current address information. (Either the letter was returned as undeliverable or no response was made by the voter.)
Yet these voters have not been removed. Along with the press release (attached at the end of this business plan) are the number of “Active Voters by Precinct” from the web site of the Broward County Supervisor of Elections. Here are the numbers from the official Supervisor of Elections web site:
Democrat Republican Totals (includes NPAs, others)
Aug. 2011 554,692 248,917 1,060,116
Sept. 2011 559,035 250,523 1,068,961
Oct. 2011 559,936 251,072 1,071,460
Nov. 2011 Not available on web site
Dec. 2011 561,712 252,579 1,077,006
Jan. 2012 562,168 253,630 1,079,533
Feb. 2012 563,078 255,293 1,083,145
Mar. 2012 564,778 255,845 1,087,193
Apr. 2012 562,736 254,748 1,083,063
May 2012 565,763 255,357 1,089,067
June 2012 568,097 255,867 1,094,568
July 2012 570,960 256,424 1,100,949
Obviously, none of the 150,000 voters noted in the August 2011 press release has been removed from the rolls. Compounding this, all registered voters—Democrat, Republican, and Independent—were sent a post card (at taxpayer expense) in November 2011 allowing them to request an absentee ballot by mail—and give no reason for their request.
All of the information above is public record. Absentee ballot requests can be checked against the deceased and incarcerated. Registered voters can be checked by age and by address. None of this has thus far done by the Broward County Supervisor of Elections. This is one reason this business plan has been produced.
BENEFITS OF CLEANING UP BROWARD COUNTY VOTER REGISTRATION ROLLS
The upcoming elections are expected to be close in Florida and Broward County. To put recent elections in perspective:
Year Office / candidate (party) Florida %age Broward %age
2000 President / Bush (R) 2,912,790 48.8 177,323 30.93
2000 President / Gore (D) 2,912,523 48.8 386,561 67.42
2008 President / McCain (R) 4,045,624 48.2 237,724 32.34
2008 President / Obama (D) 4,282,074 51.0 492,633 67.02
2008 Congress / West (R) 58,861 45.42
2008 Congress / Klein (D) 70,525 54.42
2010 Congress / West (R) 46,146 53.78
2010 Congress / Klein (D) 39,654 46.22
2010 Governor / Scott (R) 2,619,335 48.9 140,445 33.35
2010 Governor / Sink (D) 2,557,785 47.7 271,606 64.49
Clearly, the difference of a few thousand votes in Broward County can not only effect local races, but state and presidential contests as well.
In using data of registered voters provided by the Broward County Supervisor of Elections, one can format the materials in an Excel spreadsheet by age, address, or any other variable. Beyond desk use, this is necessary for a person going door-to-door to check registrations by a number of ways, including:
Address (Is the address where a person is registered to vote a vacant lot or an abandoned building?)
Number of voters at address (We know that there are addresses where 20 people are registered to vote in a single family residence or in a small apartment building.)
Age of voter (Is someone born in 1889 likely to be alive and voting? There are voters on the rolls at age 120+!)
Voting frequency (If someone is on the rolls, but has not voted in 4 or more years, that person should be visited to ensure that he or she is still living at that address. Or is not deceased.)
Name (Should Mickey Mouse be voting? Is Bruno Williams a real person—or someone’s dog?)
This will take a coordinated effort throughout all parts of the county, but we are working with computer professionals to examine the data and coordinate a full field voter ID program throughout all Broward County neighborhoods.
Along with removing the names of what the Broward County Supervisor of Elections has admitted to be 150,000 voters who should not be on the rolls—and thus eliminating that potential for fraud—there are other benefits to cleaning up the rolls:
Sending a signal to others who might be tempted to vote, but would not cast a fraudulent ballot knowing that an independent force is monitoring the process;
Pressuring the Supervisor of Elections to be proactive in taking steps to remove fraudulent voters and cleaning up the rolls;
Finally, identifying voters along the way who are favorable to conservative causes. For example, someone may have just moved to an address. If he or she is favorable, a voter registration form can be given to the new resident to fill out and send to the Supervisor of Elections. (Likewise, if a conservative voter has moved from an address, he or she can be tracked down at the new address through other databases and mailed a voter registration form at the new address.)
Finding voters fraudulently registered in two states can help election officials remove the person from two (or more) different voter rolls. Consider how tight the 2008 presidential election was in the following battleground states that narrowly went to Barack Obama:
State Obama %age McCain %age
Ohio 2,940,044 51.5 2,677,820 46.9
Pennsylvania 3,276,363 54.6 2,655,885 44.3
Virginia 1,959,532 52.6 1,725.005 46.3
North Carolina 2,142,651 49.7 2,128,474 49.4
Indiana 1,374,039 50.0 1,345,648 48.9
Software exists to identify and match voters of the same name and date of birth in all of these states for further investigation. We can use other databases to obtain information to ensure that voters are not mistakenly being identified as the same person when in fact they are two different individuals with the same name and date of birth.
Broward County is the test pilot of this program for the state and the nation. While some work has been attempted in this area, 2012 marks the first time that the voter identification software has been developed to the point where it can be discern people registered in more than one state (or in more than one location in a county or in various counties in a given state, for that matter).
During the past three years we have created a base of active, hard-working conservatives who are willing to devote the time and energy to identifying people who are incorrectly registered, registered multiple times, moved from the county, or deceased.
If this program works in Broward County, it can be exported to other counties in Florida facing similar situations such as Orange, Palm Beach, Hillsborough, and Duval. Eventually the program can be implemented throughout the United States.
Everything begins in Broward.
Success in this endeavor can lead to other investigative projects that are in the nascent stages, including:
Obtaining a list of convicted felons and running it against a list of felons whose civil rights have been restored. If you do not believe that others are interested in the “felon voting project” for different reasons, please see the August 1, 2012, press release from the American Civil Liberties Union of Florida, “Thousands of rights restoration notifications gathering dust in Capitol” at the end of this plan.
Obtaining absentee ballots marked “undeliverable” from the Broward County Supervisor of Elections office and checking the status of the voters who “ordered” an absentee ballot that could not be sent to the requested address. As of this report, approximately 62,000 of the 102,000 absentee ballots (of 1,100,000 total registered voters) sent by the Supervisor of Elections have not been “cast and returned” (i.e., legally voted). While the undeliverable voter’s names will not be released before the August 14 primary, this is public record and can be obtained afterwards.
Obtaining absentee ballots that have not been “cast and returned” since the signature on the return envelope does not match the signature on file. Again, the mismatched signature names will not be released before the August 14 primary, but this is public record and can be obtained afterwards.
This is a separate effort from the GOTV efforts outlined in the first part of this business plan. Depending on the commitment you and your associates are willing to make, we can produce a separate cost analysis to achieve these goals. The exact nature of the plan – and its eventual rollout and future implications – are something that w would address in a face-to-face presentation.
